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The Journal of Pathology

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journal of Pathology's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Deep Learning Spatial Profiling of CD103+CD8+ T Cells and Survival in Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Abe, T.; Yamashita, K.; Nagasaka, T.; Fujita, M.; Ueda, Y.; Miyake, S.; Ito, R.; Adachi, Y.; Ando, M.; Tsuneki, T.; Okazoe, Y.; Konaka, R.; Takahashi, T.; Kagiyama, H.; Tachibana, T.; Imai, M.; Yoshida, T.; Saito, M.; Mukohyama, J.; Kanayama, K.; Koma, Y.-I.; Otowa, Y.; Hasegawa, H.; Ikeda, T.; Koterazawa, Y.; Aoki, T.; Harada, H.; Urakawa, N.; Goto, H.; Kanaji, S.; Yanagimoto, H.; Matsuda, T.; Takamura, S.; Yamashita, T.; Sasaki, R.; Fukumoto, T.; Kakeji, Y.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353629 medRxiv
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Background: CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are established prognostic markers in colorectal cancer, yet the clinical significance of CD103+CD8+ tissue-resident memory-like (TRM-like) T cells in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) remains unknown. Methods: We quantified CD8+ and CD103+CD8+ T-cell densities in stromal and intratumoral compartments of post-NACRT resection specimens from 40 LARC patients using Cu-Cyto, a deep learning-based imaging cytometry platform. Associations with survival, pathological response, and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were examined. Treatment-induced T-cell dynamics were assessed in paired pretreatment biopsies and post-NACRT resections (n = 9). Results: High stromal CD103+CD8+ density independently predicted better 5-year RFS (67.4% vs. 12.1%, p < 0.001) and OS (80.0% vs. 26.6%, p = 0.016); intratumoral density showed no prognostic significance. Pathological response correlated with stromal CD8+ but not CD103+CD8+ density. Paired analysis revealed a selective non-expansion of the CD103+ subset: stromal CD8+ T cells increased significantly after NACRT while CD103+CD8+ density remained unchanged. AC may preferentially benefit patients with low stromal CD103+CD8+ density. Conclusions: Stromal CD103+CD8+ T-cell density is a robust independent prognostic biomarker in rectal cancer after NACRT that appears to reflect pre-existing rather than treatment-induced immunity. Given its stability across NACRT, pretreatment biopsy assessment may provide equivalent prognostic information, with potential implications for patient stratification before treatment initiation.

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Widespread Hyperalgesia Predicts Mortality in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Faghih, M.; Damm, M.; Kassik, M.-T.; Cheesman, L.; Rauschenberg, S.; Olesen, S. S.; Laheru, D. A.; Zheng, L.; Phillips, A. E.; Yadav, D.; Drewes, A. M.; Rosendahl, J.; Singh, V. K.; International Pancreatic Pain Consortium,

2026-05-27 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353594 medRxiv
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Pain in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is associated with poor survival, but whether altered pain processing carries prognostic significance is unknown. We analyzed a prospective cohort of 143 patients with PDAC who underwent pancreatic quantitative sensory testing (PQST) after diagnosis. Patients were classified as having normal pain processing (n=84), segmental hyperalgesia (n=30), or widespread hyperalgesia (n=29). Survival was measured from the date of P-QST assessment. During follow-up, 70 deaths occurred. Widespread hyperalgesia was associated with increased mortality in unadjusted Cox analysis (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.14,3.35) and after adjustment for age, sex, tumor stage, comorbidity, opioid treatment, and body mass index (adjusted HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.30,4.15). Segmental hyperalgesia was not associated with mortality. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated lower survival probability in the widespread hyperalgesia group (log rank p=0.025). These findings suggest that widespread hyperalgesia, reflecting altered central pain processing, identifies a subgroup of PDAC patients at increased risk of mortality independent of conventional clinical factors.

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Connecting Baseline Immune Exhaustion in Hot Tumors to Oral Cancer Recurrence and Nodal Metastasis

Shaikh, S.; Basu, S.; Hajihosseini, M.; Nandy, S. K.; Moorthy, M.; Arun, I.; Lali, B. S.; Arun, P.; Mukherjee, G.; Pyne, S.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354295 medRxiv
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Background: The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in the treatment of cancer has rapidly expanded over the last decade. However, there are several knowledge gaps in understanding how tumor cells evade the immune system. There is paucity of data in HPV negative oral cancer, particularly of the gingivobuccal region. Understanding the mechanism of immune system evasion in this cancer is vital for improving patient outcomes. Methods: We characterized the baseline immune milieu of oral cancer using immunohistochemistry (IHC) on whole tumor sections from 124 cases. Tumors were classified as hot or cold and further stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups. High-risk patients included those with lymph node metastasis at diagnosis/recurrence or distant metastasis within 2 years of treatment completion. Patients without these features were categorized as low risk. Validation by RNA-Seq and Joint Enrichment Analysis of Oncogenic and Immunologic Pathways was carried out in a subset of 46 cases. Results: Hot high-risk tumors (by IHC) were distinguished by elevated PD-L1 expression and reduced NK-cell, PD1, and CTLA-4 expression. There was no difference in the expression levels of CD3+, CD8+, granzyme, or perforin compared to hot low-risk tumors, findings that align with the definition of hot tumors. RNA-Seq revealed a gene signature associated with exhausted T-cells in hot high-risk tumors. Gene and pathway analyses identified differential upregulation of isoform-specific TOX, TCF, CXCR, RUNX, IRF, BRD and BCL6 genes, implicating immune cell exhaustion and tumor aggressiveness. Significantly downregulated genes included PDCD1, HAVCR2, ZAP70, and STAT, indicative of a disabled immune microenvironment. These findings support that a state of immune exhaustion in HHR tumors is driven by progenitor exhausted T-cells and terminally exhausted T-cells; independent of PD1-TIM3. Conclusion: These findings suggest that combining TOX/TCF/BCL6 inhibitors with immune checkpoint inhibitors in the adjuvant setting might benefit patients with hot high-risk tumors. Given the results, testing for a targeted exhaustion-related gene panel at diagnosis is recommended for oral cancers to stratify tumors as high-risk or low-risk. Larger validation studies and clinical trials are now warranted.

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T cell transcriptional and receptor signatures predict response to telomerase vaccination in prostate cancer

Hoye, E.; Natkin, R.; Sajnani, K.; Engedal, N.; Simensen, J. E.; Hakkola, S.; Kiviaho, A.; Ballesio, F.; Cecchetto, T.; Ellingsen, E. B.; Westhrin, M.; Hovig, E.; Mathelier, A.; Visakorpi, T.; Tammela, T. L.; Murtola, T. J.; Eerola, S.; Nykter, M.; Lilleby, W.; Urbanucci, A.

2026-05-30 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354038 medRxiv
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While prostate cancer (PC) is defined as immunologically cold, limiting the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors, therapeutic vaccination targeting tumor-associated antigens represents an attractive strategy to promote disease control in low volume metastatic patients. The UV1 cancer vaccine is based on immunization with tripeptide fragments from human telomerase reverse transcriptase (hTERT) and a phase II clinical trial demonstrated induction of robust T cell response in men with de novo metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC). Comparison with long-term survival data of non-metastatic CSPC patients as reference showed that despite metastatic disease at diagnosis, UV1-treated patients who mounted an early vaccine-induced immune response achieved progression-free and overall survival comparable to non-metastatic patients. We examined biological determinants of clinical benefit following UV1 vaccination including tumor transcriptome and T cell receptor (TCR) profiling from circulating and tissue resident T-cells of the 22 men enrolled. Analysis of diagnostic and post-UV1 treatment biopsies revealed that low baseline exhaustion of T cells and higher CD8+ T cell abundance are associated with early immune response to the vaccine and longer survival. Moreover, we identified specific TCR motifs relative to early responders, that can indicate potential benefit from UV1 vaccination. These findings indicate that baseline intratumoral T cell exhaustion state and repertoire shape responsiveness to hTERT vaccination and long-term outcome. Overall, our study underlines how baseline immune profiling may be used as a companion biomarker to predict mCSPC patients most likely to benefit from therapeutic vaccination.

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Redefining Extent Of Resection After Meningioma Surgery: a Multicentre Observational Machine Learning Analysis Comparing Simpson, Radiological and Volumetric Grading

Pandit, A. S.; Deehan, M.; Moudgil-Joshi, J.; Reischer, G.; Mathew, S.; Pace, G.; Fatania, G.; Dalton, A.; Nair, R.; Hyare, H.; Mallon, D.; Kitchen, N.; Marcus, H. J.; Nachev, P.

2026-05-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353944 medRxiv
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Background: Extent of resection remains central to meningioma management, yet Simpson grading is subjective and may not reflect measurable postoperative residual disease. We compared surgeon-reported Simpson grade, report-derived radiological grading, and residual tumour volumetry across a multicentre cohort. Methods: We performed a retrospective study across two tertiary neurosciences centres comprising four hospitals, including patients undergoing primary cranial meningioma resection from 2006 to 2025. Postoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) reports were harmonised using weakly supervised natural language processing based on term frequency-inverse document frequency (TF-IDF) and a linear support vector machine classifier. Residual tumour volume was segmented from contrast-enhanced postoperative MRI and log-transformed. Concordance between Simpson and radiological gross-total/subtotal resection classification was assessed using absolute agreement and prevalence-adjusted bias-adjusted kappa (PABAK). Cox models assessed recurrence-free survival, with bootstrap validation and anatomical and scan-timing sensitivity analyses. Results: Among 912 patients, recurrence or residual progression occurred in 281. Surgical-radiological agreement was substantial but imperfect (absolute agreement 74%; PABAK 0.61), with lower agreement in skull-base and parafalcine-parasagittal tumours. In adjusted models, recurrence hazard increased with Simpson grade (hazard ratio 1.54, 95% confidence interval 1.37-1.72), radiological grade (1.92, 1.68-2.20), and log-transformed residual volume (1.20, 1.16-1.24; all p<0.0005). Optimism corrected concordance increased from Simpson grade to radiological grade and log-volumetry (0.692, 0.733, and 0.748), with this ranking preserved across sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: Imaging-based postoperative residual disease measures outperformed Simpson grade. TF-IDF-assisted report-derived grading provides a scalable bridge to volumetry, while quantitative residual volume offers the strongest prognostic representation.

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DKK1 and CKAP4 expression is associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in tongue squamous cell carcinoma

Fujita, H.; Takahashi, O.; Yada, N.; Tanaka, J.; Haraguchi, K.; Morioka, M.; Yaginuma, T.; Sasaguri, M.; Kokabu, S.; Habu, M.

2026-06-01 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354440 medRxiv
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Objective: To identify Dickkopf-1 (DKK1) as a prognostically relevant candidate in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and to evaluate whether DKK1 and cytoskeleton-associated protein 4 (CKAP4) expression is associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in tongue squamous cell carcinoma (TSCC). Methods: DKK1 was screened using the Human Protein Atlas Pathology Atlas. Immunohistochemical expression of DKK1 and CKAP4 was examined in 54 patients with primary TSCC (cT1-4N0) treated surgically between 2015 and 2020. Nine cases were excluded because of insufficient tissue blocks or inadequate staining quality, leaving 45 evaluable cases. Associations with delayed cervical lymph node metastasis were assessed together with conventional clinicopathological factors, including infiltrative growth pattern (INF) and pathological depth of invasion (pDOI). Results: In public database analysis, high DKK1 expression was associated with poorer overall survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. In the TSCC cohort, pDOI [&ge;]5 mm and INF pattern c were significantly associated with cervical lymph node metastasis. Positive DKK1 and CKAP4 expression were also significantly associated with cervical lymph node metastasis. Furthermore, combined DKK1/CKAP4 positivity, when incorporated with INF and pDOI, provided additional risk stratification, and cases with all 3 factors showed a markedly increased likelihood of cervical lymph node metastasis. Conclusions: Expression of DKK1 and CKAP4 was associated with cervical lymph node metastasis in TSCC. Combined assessment of DKK1/CKAP4 expression with INF and pDOI may improve pathological risk stratification and may help identify patients who require closer neck evaluation and postoperative management.

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Ejaculatory Function and Clinical Outcomes Following Robotic Aquablation for Prostatic Bladder Outflow Obstruction: A Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study Protocol

Shroff, D. E.; Newman, T.; Malde, S.; Martyn-Hemphill, C.

2026-05-30 urology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354125 medRxiv
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Introduction Aquablation for surgical treatment of benign prostatic enlargement (BPE) causing bladder outflow obstruction (BOO) has demonstrated good functional outcomes, even for large glands, with high rates of ejaculatory preservation reported. This is a protocol for a study that aims to review real-world outcomes of ejaculatory preservation or restoration post-Aquablation in an unselected cohort and compare to published clinical trial outcomes. Methods Retrospective data will be collected from a prospectively maintained consecutive case series of patients who underwent Aquablation, in a single UK centre. The primary outcome is ejaculatory function subjectively reported by men post-operatively, and classified as: antegrade ejaculation, retrograde/low volume ejaculation, anejaculation or not sexually active. Secondary outcomes are International Prostate Symptom Severity (IPSS), Quality of Life (QoL) Score, post-void residual (PVR), and incontinence. Descriptive and comparative statistical tests will be performed. Conclusions This study will review real-world ejaculatory function and clinical outcomes following robotic Aquablation for prostatic bladder outflow obstruction and compare this to published clinical trial outcomes.

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Sensitive Glioma Detection and Recurrence Monitoring Using a Machine Learning Model Based on Circulating Monocytes

Wu, W.; Chai, R.; Xia, P.; Wu, L.; Yu, B.; Chen, X.; Pang, B.; Chen, D.; Wang, Y.; Wang, N.; Li, X.; Liu, H.; Deng, Q.; Wan, F.; Lyu, F.; Wang, L.; Zhang, W.; Zhang, J.; Jiang, T.; Wang, Q.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354409 medRxiv
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Background: Non-invasive diagnosis, reliable recurrence surveillance remain critical unmet needs in gliomas. Glioma induces profound systemic immune alterations despite its anatomical confinement to the central nervous system. Circulating immune cells, particularly monocytes, are key mediators of tumor-host crosstalk and may retain tumor-induced transcriptional imprints. However, their potential clinical utility as blood-based biomarkers for detection and monitoring, remain largely unexplored. Methods and findings: In this study, we performed integrated single-cell RNA sequencing of blood immune cells and demonstrated that circulating CD14+ monocytes are significantly expanded in glioma patients, exhibiting features of differentiation arrest and increased transcriptional plasticity. These cells harbor glioma-specific molecular signatures distinct from those observed in healthy controls and patients with other tumors. Leveraging these findings, we developed an ensemble machine learning diagnostic model based on transcriptomic profiles of circulating CD14+ monocytes (training cohort, n=107), which achieved a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.971 during cross-validation. In an independent cohort of 567 participants, the model maintained high diagnostic accuracy, yielding an AUC of 0.877 for distinguishing glioma from controls and other tumors. And it achieved a recurrence detection AUC of 0.969 in 51 postoperative samples. Moreover, in a prospective follow-up study involving 30 glioma patients, lower model-derived scores of postoperation were significantly associated with prolonged progression-free survival (log-rank test, P=0.043), supporting its prognostic utility. Conclusion: We demonstrate circulating CD14+ monocytes undergo glioma-specific transcriptional reprogramming, generating systemic tumor-associated signal captured via transcriptomic profiling. This blood-based diagnostic model provides non-invasive, scalable approach for glioma detection, recurrence surveillance, outcome prediction.

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Prevalence and Characteristics of Steatotic Liver Disease in Germany - Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the German National Cohort (NAKO)

von Itter, M.-N.; Grune, E.; Nonnenmacher, T.; Rach, S.; Flis, M.; Haueise, T.; Weiss, J.; Brenner, H.; Keil, T.; Roden, M.; Schulze, M. B.; Schulz-Menger, J. E.; Völzke, H.; Stefan, N.; Schlett, C. L.; Kauczor, H.-U.; Machann, J.; Bamberg, F.; Nattenmüller, J.; Norajitra, T.; Rospleszcz, S.

2026-06-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354407 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Steatotic liver disease (SLD) has high clinical and public health relevance. Robust population estimates of SLD and its subcategories are challenging due to the limitations of ultrasound measurements or non-invasive scores, particularly for low-grade steatosis. We aimed to quantify SLD prevalence using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the population-based German National Cohort (NAKO). Methods: Hepatic multi-echo Dixon MRI was performed at 5 dedicated study sites with identical setup across Germany. Liver fat (proton density fat fraction, PDFF), R2* as proxy for liver iron, and liver volume were assessed. The resulting data of N = 29'842 individuals (age range 20-72 years) were weighted by survey weights for regional representativeness, resulting in a sample of 50% women and a mean age of 45.6 years. SLD was defined as PDFF [&ge;] 5.75%, and sex-specific prevalence according to age, BMI, socioeconomic status and geographic region was calculated. Results: Overall, SLD prevalence was 21.3% in women and 35.7% in men, and the majority were metabolic dysfunction-associated (MASLD, 89.3% of all SLD cases). Prevalence increased with age in a sex-specific pattern, suggesting potential menopausal effects in women. There was a relevant prevalence of SLD in individuals with normal weight (5.3% in women, 13.2% in men) and the age group <25 years (7.5% in women, 11.9% in women). Differences in prevalence between low and high socioeconomic status were more pronounced in women (37% vs 15.8%) compared to men (45.5% vs 30.3%). Conclusions: Data underscore the high public health relevance of SLD and its subcategory MASLD. The considerable prevalence in groups historically considered low-risk, such as younger or lean individuals, emphasizes the need for raising awareness early.

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Cancer Prevalence and Patterns in Kilifi County: A 10-year Retrospective Descriptive Study

Masha, M.; Mbugua, R. W.; Abdullahi, M.; Sheikh, N. A.; Omar, A.; Abdihamid, O.

2026-06-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353643 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Cancer is an increasing public health challenge in Kenya, particularly in rural and underserved regions where surveillance systems and diagnostic capacity remain limited. Kilifi County, located along the Kenyan coast, lacks a population-based cancer registry, and data on the local cancer burden is not available. This study aimed to characterize the demographic distribution of patients, cancer burden in the county, and management of cancer cases diagnosed at Kilifi County Referral Hospital (KCRH) over ten years. Methods This retrospective study analyzed the patterns of cancer in Kilifi County using patient records from KCRH during the study period (January 1, 2014, to January 1, 2024). Results A total of 101 patients with cancer were identified, 58% female, with a mean age of 54 years. Most patients were from Kilifi North (47%), with a high proportion reporting no formal occupation (41%) or farming (26%). Esophageal and cervical cancers were the most common (18% each), followed by breast and prostate cancers (5% each), with other malignancies occurring infrequently. Histopathology was the primary diagnostic modality (88%). Staging data were incomplete in 70% of cases; among documented cases, the majority presented with advanced disease (21% stage IV). Due to limited local treatment capacity, approximately half of the patients were referred to tertiary centers for chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or surgery. At data cut-off, 43% had died, 25% were on treatment, and 29% were lost to follow-up, with only 2% completing treatment or under follow-up. Conclusions This study demonstrates a substantial cancer burden in Kilifi County and highlights critical gaps in diagnostic capacity, staging, and continuity of care. Strengthening cancer surveillance systems, expanding diagnostic and treatment infrastructure, and establishing a population-based cancer registry are essential to improving cancer outcomes and advancing equitable care in rural Kenya

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Peripheral immune profiles separate disease activity stages in Birdshot Uveitis

Pohlmann-Krappitz, D.; Kaeferstein, I.; Kruse, B.; Winterhalter, S.; Thiel, A.; Pleyer, U.; Braun, J.

2026-05-30 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354201 medRxiv
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Purpose: To characterize peripheral immune alterations in treated birdshot uveitis (BU) patients using high-dimensional mass cytometry and multiplex serology. Design: Cohort study. Subjects: 36 BU patients on immunomodulatory treatment (IMT) and 31 healthy controls (HCs). Methods: Detailed ophthalmologic examinations were performed, and peripheral blood and serum samples were collected for immune profiling using mass cytometry and multiplex cytokine analysis. Main Outcome Measures: Imaging-based indicators of ocular inflammation; peripheral immune cell frequencies; serum cytokine levels. Results: Compared to HCs, BU patients showed increased frequencies of Th17, CD146+ T cells, intermediate effector/central memory T cells co-expressing CXCR3 and CCR4, CD56dim NK cells and elevated IL-18 levels. Patients were clinically stratified by an expert ophthalmologist into three disease activity groups: Inactive, Active (comprising combinations of surface retina, deep retina and choroid activity) and Burned-out. Inactive patients harbored more quiescent effector T cells, e.g. Tim-3+ Tc17-Tc22 intermediates and more CD8+ TSCM, potentially representing a resting pool of autoimmune T cells. Active patients exhibited increased in vivo activation of relevant T cells, with stronger HLA-DR, CD38 or PD-1 expression, and highest levels of CD56dim NK cells. Immune profiles were also linked to treatment subgroups: csDMARDs (conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs) were associated with higher CD56bright NK frequencies, and absence of therapy showed elevated PD-1/SLAMF7 Tc17+1 and PD-1CD57 CD8 TEMRA cells. IL-6R blockade (tocilizumab) resulted in loss of IL-6R T-cells accompanied by increased SLAMF7 T cells, due to epitope masking. Conclusions: Peripheral CyTOF profiling anchored to thorough clinical stratification revealed disease activity-associated immune signatures and therapy-associated imprints in BU.

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Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Predict Prognosis in Patients with Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

Zhang, K.; Gao, L.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; Coffey, C. S.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354194 medRxiv
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Importance Prognostic tools beyond staging are needed to guide treatment and counseling in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Objective To develop and externally validate a machine learning model predicting survival in advanced HNSCC using routinely collected clinical and biomarker data. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective, multi-institutional cohort study including 2,385 patients with stage III-IV HNSCC diagnosed from 2012-2022 in the University of California Health Data Warehouse (UCHDW). Patients were randomly split into training (n = 1,908) and test (n = 477) sets. Partial external validation used 7,749 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry (2010-2020). Exposures Demographic, tumor, treatment, comorbidity, and biomarker variables recorded at or before diagnosis. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 70 months. Cox proportional hazards models included all predictors. Discrimination was assessed with Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration with predicted vs observed survival, and stratification with Kaplan-Meier curves. A Random Survival Forest (RSF) was trained for benchmarking and interpretability using Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Results Among 2,385 patients in UCHDW (median age, 63 years; 29.0% mortality), the Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.735 in the internal test set. Risk quartiles showed clear separation on Kaplan-Meier curves (log-rank p < 0.0001). In the SEER cohort (n = 7,749), where only demographic, staging, subsite, and treatment variables were available, the reduced Cox model achieved a C-index of 0.688, with calibration showing modest underestimation of survival in high-risk groups. Age, T stage, Charlson Comorbidity Index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet count were among the strongest predictors, while surgery was associated with improved survival. The RSF achieved a C-index of 0.758 internally, with SHAP highlighting nonlinear effects of albumin, BMI, and inflammatory markers. Conclusions and Relevance A machine learning model using routine clinical and biomarker data demonstrated good prognostic performance in advanced HNSCC, with partial external validation. Such approaches may support individualized survival estimates, risk stratification, and treatment discussions, but broader validation is required before clinical adoption.

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Nationwide Trends and Outcomes in Major Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgery

espinoza, r. e. d. a.; Bastos, L. S. L.; Hamacher, S.; Salluh, J. I. F.; Bozza, F. A.

2026-05-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354087 medRxiv
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Background Complex gastrointestinal (GI) oncologic surgeries carry substantial perioperative risk, and nationwide outcomes in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are underreported. This study aimed to evaluate national trends in surgical volume, in-hospital mortality, and intensive care unit (ICU) utilization for major GI cancer surgery in Brazils Unified Health System (SUS) over a 14-year period. Methods A population-based analysis was performed using national administrative databases to identify all adult patients undergoing colectomy, gastrectomy, pancreatic resection or esophagectomy for cancer in the SUS from 2010-2023. Annual rates were age-standardized according to the WHO standard population. Temporal trends were assessed using Poisson regression to estimate average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results A total of 179,337 hospital admissions were analyzed (median age 63 years; 48% female). Colectomies accounted for 72% of cases, followed by gastrectomies (19%), pancreatic resections (5%), and esophagectomies (3%). Although crude surgical volume increased, population-adjusted rates declined overall (AAPC -2.09%; 95% CI -2.58 to -1.59), mainly due to reductions in gastrectomies and esophagectomies. Median hospital stay decreased from 9 to 7 days (AAPC -1.93%; 95% CI -2.79 to -1.06). Overall in-hospital mortality declined from 8.1% to 5.7% (AAPC -2.88%; 95% CI -4.15 to -1.59). ICU utilization rose from 37% to 43% of admissions (AAPC +1.31%; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.71). Conclusion Over 14 years, in-hospital mortality and length of stay for major gastrointestinal cancer surgery declined within Brazils universal public health system. These temporal trends occurred alongside expansion of accredited oncology services and increased ICU utilization, although causal relationships cannot be established from administrative data. These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating and highlight the need for more granular hospital-level data in LMIC settings.

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Geospatial Analysis of Antenatal Care Utilization and Its Determinants Among Women in Ghana: Evidence from 2022 Demographic and Health Survey

Opoku, S. Y.; Weyori, E. W.; Ampon-Wireko, S.; Nawaane, P.; Asaarik, M. J. A.; Fiavor, F.; Owusua, T.

2026-05-28 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354191 medRxiv
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Background: Antenatal care (ANC) utilization is critical for improving maternal and neonatal health outcomes. Despite the World Health Organization recommendation of at least eight ANC contacts during pregnancy and the implementation of free maternal healthcare policies in Ghana, significant geographic and socioeconomic disparities in ANC utilization persist. This study therefore assessed the spatial distribution and geographically varying determinants of ANC utilization among women in Ghana. Methods: A cross sectional analytical study was conducted using women data from the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey. The analysis included women aged 15 to 49 years with an index child younger than five years preceding the survey. Descriptive statistics were computed using Stata version 18, while spatial analyses were conducted in QGIS version 3.44. Global Morans I was used to assess spatial autocorrelation, whereas Local Morans I and Getis Ord Gi analyses identified spatial clusters, hotspots, and coldspots of ANC utilization. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models were fitted to assess global and local determinants of ANC utilization. Results: Overall, only 26.0% of women achieved adequate ANC utilization, while 74.0% reported inadequate ANC attendance. Adequate ANC utilization was higher among women with higher education (42.0%) and those from the richest households (41.3%) compared with women without formal education (19.1%) and those from the poorest households (17.6%). Regional disparities were observed, with Western (48.8%), Eastern (48.0%), and Greater Accra (47.3%) regions recording the highest ANC utilization, whereas Savannah (24.7%), Northern (25.8%), and North East (26.8%) regions recorded the lowest utilization levels. Global Morans I demonstrated significant positive spatial autocorrelation (Morans I = 0.457, p = 0.044), indicating geographic clustering of ANC utilization across Ghana. Getis Ord Gi analysis identified significant coldspots within Northern, Savannah, and North East regions, while Central Region demonstrated significant hotspot clustering. OLS regression showed that maternal education (B = 0.284, p = 0.003) and household wealth (B = 0.191, p = 0.011) positively influenced ANC utilization, whereas distance to health facility negatively influenced utilization (B = -0.156, p = 0.019). The GWR model demonstrated improved explanatory performance (Adjusted R-squared = 0.71), confirming substantial spatial heterogeneity in ANC determinants across Ghana. Conclusion: Adequate ANC utilization in Ghana remains low and geographically unequal. Maternal education, household wealth, and geographic accessibility significantly influence ANC utilization, with pronounced disparities concentrated within Northern Ghana. Spatially targeted maternal health interventions aimed at improving education, reducing socioeconomic inequalities, and enhancing healthcare accessibility are required to improve equitable ANC utilization across Ghana.

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Quantifying longitudinal gait changes in ALS using wearable digital health technology metrics

Burke, K. M.; Calcagno, N.; Mandepudi, S.; Premasiri, A.; Hall, K. C.; Vieira, F. G.; Berry, J. D.; Straczkiewicz, M.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354200 medRxiv
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Wearable digital health technologies may complement traditional gait assessments in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) by sensitively capturing real-world mobility changes. In this study, we validated six digital gait metrics derived from ankle-worn sensors in a natural history cohort of 182 individuals with ALS. Investigated metrics correspond to various aspects of gait, including volume, speed, intensity, similarity, variability, and fragmentation. Longitudinal analyses showed significant declines in step count, peak cadence, stride intensity, and stride similarity, with increasing stride duration variability and walking fragmentation over 52 weeks. Many participants exhibited greater relative change in the gait metrics than the self-reported ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-RSE). Stratified analyses revealed that digital metrics captured significant functional decline even in participants with stable walking scores on the ALSFRS-RSE. These findings support the potential utility of these metrics for disease monitoring in ALS clinical care and trials.

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Cancer Medicine Prices, Availability, and Affordability in Kisumu County, Kenya

OKETCH, J. O.; Amolo, S. A.; Onguru, D. O.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354206 medRxiv
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Background: The rising prices of cancer medicines have intensified concerns about treatment access and health system sustainability particularly in low- and middle-income settings. Systematic facility level evidence on what medicines is actually available, at what prices, and at what cost to patients remains scarce, constraining evidence-based policy reform. Methods: Using adapted WHO/Health action international methodology, we conducted a cross-sectional survey of 52 cancer medicines across five therapeutic classes at five health facilities in Kisumu County, Kenya. Availability was measured as the proportion of facilities stocking each medicine. Affordability was assessed using days' wages required for the lowest-paid government worker to purchase standard treatment regimens, calculated per one chemotherapy cycle and maximum possible cycles. Results: Overall medicine availability was 48.1%, with marked inter-facility variation. Affordability analysis revealed severe financial barriers. The breast cancer AC regimen required 19.6-47.4 days' wages per full course; cervical cancer cisplatin, 19.8-49.2 days' wages; colorectal FOLFOX, 80.0-303.6 days' wages; and prostate docetaxel reached 437 days' wages at the highest-cost facility. The Social Health Authority's (SHA) KES 550,000 annual ceiling adequately covered cytotoxic regimens for common cancers at competitive prices but was exceeded by 24-116% for HER2-positive breast cancer requiring trastuzumab, with further strain for recurrent cervical and metastatic prostate cancers. Conclusions: Cancer medicines in Kisumu County are inconsistently available and highly variable in price resulting in inequitable access. We call for urgent retail price markup regulation, expanded pooled procurement through KEMSA, inclusion of priority targeted therapies on the Kenya Essential Medicines List, and SHA benefit packages redesigned around full-course regimen costs.

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Stratified evaluation of blood RNA sequencing in a rare disease cohort

Duzenli, T.; Durmus, S.; Kaya, H. E.; Sevilgen, F. E.; Kayhan, G.; Cakir, T.; Ergun, M. A.

2026-05-28 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26353804 medRxiv
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Background: RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) is increasingly recognized as a complementary tool to DNA-based sequencing for improving the diagnostic yield in Mendelian disorders. However, how the diagnostic performance of RNA-seq varies across molecularly and phenotypically distinct patient subgroups remains poorly defined. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the diagnostic utility of RNA-seq across three stratified groups of patients with non-diagnostic exome sequencing. Methods: We performed RNA-seq on whole blood samples from 90 patients with suspected Mendelian disease in whom clinical exome or whole-exome sequencing had failed to establish a molecular diagnosis. Patients were prospectively stratified into three groups of 30: (i) patients with a candidate variant of uncertain significance (VUS) with predicted splicing impact (Group 1), (ii) patients with a specific clinical pre-diagnosis but no identified pathogenic variant (Group 2), and (iii) patients without a specific pre-diagnosis or candidate variant (Group 3). Aberrant splicing, gene expression outliers, and allele-specific expression were analyzed using multiple bioinformatic tools and compared against a GTEx-derived control cohort. Results: RNA-seq contributed to a molecular diagnosis in 29 of 88 evaluable patients (32.9%). Diagnostic yield differed substantially across groups: 82.8% (24/29) in Group 1, 6.9% (2/29) in Group 2, and 10% (3/30) in Group 3. In Group 1, RNA-seq enabled reclassification of candidate VUS through direct demonstration of aberrant splicing events. In Group 2, RNA-seq identified a somatic mosaic ACTB variant missed by exome sequencing and reclassified a previously deprioritized APPL1 VUS. In Group 3, a deep intronic pseudoexon-activating variant in IGBP1 was identified in two siblings with severe microcephaly, providing evidence for a candidate X-linked microcephaly gene, and a pathogenic RNU4-2 variant was detected in a patient with ReNU syndrome, a non-protein-coding gene not captured by standard exome sequencing. Conclusions: RNA-seq has the highest diagnostic utility when applied to evaluate candidate splice variants identified by prior DNA testing but also provides independent diagnostic value in patients without candidate variants. The systematic comparison across stratified patient groups supports the integration of RNA-seq into clinical genomic workflows and highlights the need for standardized analytic frameworks.

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Intravital mid-infrared biosensing by normalized spatial probing of self-referenced optothermal signals

Berger, C. G.; Puttfarcken, B.; Qiu, J.; Hauer, I.; Herr, S.; Juestel, D.; Pleitez, M. A.

2026-05-28 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354202 medRxiv
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We present a compact pump-and-probe mid-infrared Optothermal Spectrometer (OTHES) equipped with Spatial Probing and Autocorrection (SPAC) optimized for robust intravital application in humans. SPAC-OTHES facilitates alignment stability and spectral comparability across different measurement sessions involving different skin types. Contrary to state-of-the-art, SPAC-OTHES uses camera-based beam detection and an auto-calibration mechanism that enables ca. 73% better spectral reproducibility in intravital measurements in human volunteers than non-calibrated readouts. Moreover, SPAC-OTHES has the potential to lower the glucose quantification error, as demonstrated here in artificial skin phantoms, where an improvement of 52% compared to conventional diode-based detection was observed. The compactness of OTHES, combined with reliable SPAC-readout, has the potential to accelerate commercialization and broad application of biosensors based on mid-infrared spectroscopy.

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SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Response during Omicron Predominance after COVID-19 Vaccination in People Living with HIV: A Comparative Study in Canada and Burkina Faso

Jarras, H.; Bazie, W. W.; Blais, I.; Pakenham, A.; Valiquette, j.; Theriault, M.; Traore, I. T.; Kania, D.; Ouoba, A. R.; Zoundi, Y.; Pelletier, M.; Tessier, P. A.; Pouliot, M.; Trottier, S.; Vachon, M.-L.; Gilbert, C.

2026-05-28 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354060 medRxiv
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People living with HIV (PLWH) are known to maintain a degree of immune deficiency despite efficient antiretroviral therapy and may exhibit diminished responses to vaccines. In this study, we assessed the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccines in two geographically distinct PLWH populations. PLWH and HIV-negative (HIV-) participants were recruited from Qu&bec City (QC), Canada, and Bobo-Dioulasso (BD), Burkina Faso, for two visits at 24-week intervals during the predominance of the Omicron variant, from May 2022 to September 2023. Blood samples were collected at each visit for the detection of antibodies against spike (anti-S) and nucleocapsid (anti-N) proteins of SARS-CoV-2 in platelet-free plasma. A total of 360 participants were enrolled. We detected anti-S antibodies in 99% of participants, indicating that nearly all had prior exposure to the SARS-CoV-2 spike antigen, either through vaccination or prior infection. Anti-S titers showed no difference between PLWH and HIV& participants in each location, while significantly higher titers were observed in participants from QC compared to BD. In contrast, anti-N antibodies, indicative of prior infection, were detected in 39% and 86% of the participants in QC and BD, respectively, suggesting that the virus circulated largely in the latter population. No difference in anti-N levels was observed between PLWH and HIV& participants in BD. However, participants in QC had significantly lower titers compared to HIV participants. Overall, this study shows that PLWH develop robust antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, comparable to those observed in HIV& participants. Significant geographic differences were observed in anti-S titers, irrespective of HIV status, with participants from QC displaying higher titers. In contrast, participants from BD had higher anti-N antibody prevalence and titers, reflecting more SARS-CoV-2 infections in BD than in QC. Finally, analysis of anti-S antibody titers against several circulating variants revealed significantly lower levels in unvaccinated participants and in those vaccinated with monovalent vaccines in BD. No significant difference was observed between monovalent and bivalent vaccines administered in QC. All authors have seen and approved the manuscript.

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Development and validation of a multiplexed quantitative PCR assay for clinical detection and surveillance of Oropouche virus

Stachler, E.; McMahon, K.; Gopal, N.; Knoll, H.; Baillargeon, K. R.; Mora, A. C.; Wondrash, H. A.; Sullivan, E. M.; Rush, S.; Gratalo, D.; Ozonoff, A.; Sabeti, P. C.; Springer, M.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354109 medRxiv
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Background Oropouche virus (OROV) is an emerging vector-borne virus with rapidly expanding geographic range, increasing case counts, and growing evidence of severe outcomes including neuroinvasive disease and vertical transmission. Because OROV infection presents with nonspecific febrile illness that overlaps clinically with other viruses including dengue, zika, and chikungunya, accurate molecular diagnostics are essential for patient care and surveillance. Yet existing assays rely on single genomic targets and are vulnerable to detection failure as the virus evolves and reassorts. Methodology/Principal Findings To support diagnostic capacity, we developed and clinically validated a multiplexed qPCR assay targeting three regions of the OROV S segment, incorporating redundancy to preserve sensitivity across viral diversity while enabling robust clinical interpretation. The multiplex also includes an assay targeting RNaseP as an internal sample control to ensure adequate sample processing. We evaluated assay performance using both historical and contemporary OROV strains and validated the assay on contrived serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid samples, assessing linearity, limit of detection (LOD), accuracy, specificity, precision, and sample stability. The assay met or exceeded all predefined acceptance criteria for clinical testing and achieved an LOD as low as 6 copies per reaction for contemporary outbreak strains. We further implemented a logic-based interpretation matrix that reduced false-positive risk while maintaining sensitivity near the analytical LOD. Conclusions/Significance Our assay sensitively and specifically detects OROV RNA in serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid while incorporating safeguards against viral evolution and reassortment. The assay has been approved for use by CLIA at Nexus Medical Labs in 49 U.S. states, expanding access to timely OROV diagnostics in the United States and providing a durable framework for molecular detection of reassorting, rapidly evolving viruses as OROV continues to spread into new regions.